´ë±â¿Âµµ¿Í Áö¸é¿Âµµ´Â ±âÈÄ»óŸ¦ ³ªÅ¸³»´Â ±âº»ÀûÀÎ ¹°¸®·®À¸·Î¼ ÀÌÀÇ ½Ã°ø°£ º¯È´Â Àü¼¼°è ±âÈÄ°¡ º¯ÈÇÏ´Â Áß¿äÇÑ »ó¡ÀÌ´Ù. ±âÈĽýºÅÛ ¸ðµ¨¼º´ÉÀ» Æò°¡ÇÏ´Â ÀÏÁ¾ÀÇ °¡Àå Áß¿äÇÑ ÁöÇ¥´Â ¹Ù·Î ¸ðµ¨ÀÇ ¿Âµµ ¹× ÀÌ·± º¯ÈÀÇ ÀçÇö´É·ÂÀÌ´Ù. ±×·¯¹Ç·Î ¸ðµ¨¿ÀÂ÷ÀÇ ¿øÀÎÀ» ÀÌÇØÇÏ°í ¸ðµ¨ÀÇ ¹°¸®°úÁ¤À» Èû½á °³ÁøÇÏ·Á°í ÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº ÁÙ°ð ¸ðµ¨¹ßÀüÀÌ Á÷¸éÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â °¡Àå Áß¿äÇÑ ³Á¦ÀÌ´Ù.
Áß±¹°úÇпø ´ë±â¹°¸®¿¬±¸¼Ò Rong-cai Ren ¿¬±¸¿øÀÌ À̲ø°í ÀÖ´Â ¿¬±¸ÆÀÀº °úÁ¤ºÐÇØ¿¡ ±â¹ÝÇÏ°í ÀÖ´Â ±âÈÄ¿¡³ÊÁö Çǵå¹é¹æ¹ý(climate feedback–response analysis method, CFRAM)À» ÀÌ¿ëÇÏ¿© Áö¸é-±âÈĽýºÅÛ¿¡³ÊÁöÆòÇüÀÇ °¢µµ¿¡¼ ±âÈĽýºÅ۸𵨠FGOALS-s2°¡ Áö¸é¿Âµµ¿Í ´ë±â¿Âµµ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¸ðÀÇÆíÂ÷(simulation deviation)¸¦ Á¤·®ÀûÀ¸·Î ºÐ¼®ÇÏ¿´´Ù.
¿¬±¸¿¡ ÀÇÇϸé, FGOALS-s2°¡ Áö¸é¿Âµµ¿¡ °üÇÑ ¸ðÀÇ¿ÀÂ÷´Â Çؾç¸éº¸´Ù À°Áö¿¡¼ ´õ¿í Å«µ¥ ÀÌ´Â ÁÖ·Î ¸ðµ¨¿¡¼ ½Ã½ºÅÛÀÌ °ú´ë Æò°¡ÇÑ ¾Æ·¡·Î ÇâÇÑ ÁöÇ¥¿À¯¼Ó°ú ÀϺÎÁö¿ª¿¡¼ °ú´ë Æò°¡ÇÑ ÁöÇ¥¹Ý»çÀ² µî °úÁ¤ ¿ÀÂ÷¿¡ ÀÇÇØ Çü¼ºµÈ °ÍÀÌ´Ù. ¸ðµ¨ÀÌ °Ü¿ïö ¹Ý±¸ ´ë±â¿Âµµ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¸ðÀÇ¿ÀÂ÷, ƯÈ÷ ºÏ¹Ý±¸ °Ü¿ïö ¼ºÃþ±Ç¿¡ ´ëÇÑ °ú´ë ÃßÀ§ ÆíÂ÷´Â ÁÖ·Î ¸ðµ¨µ¿·Â °úÁ¤¿ÀÂ÷¿¡ ÀÇÇØ ÀÏ¾î³ °ÍÀÌÁö¸¸ ¿©¸§Ã¶ ¹Ý±¸ ´ë±â¿ÂµµÀÇ ¸ðÀÇ¿ÀÂ÷´Â ÁÖ·Î º¹»ç °úÁ¤¿ÀÂ÷¿¡ ÀÇÇØ Çü¼ºµÈ °ÍÀÌ´Ù.
´õ¿í Áß¿äÇÑ °ÍÀº ºñ·Ï ¸ðµ¨ÀÌ ´ëºÎºÐ Áö¿ª¿¡¼ ¿Âµµ¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¸ðÀÇ¿ÀÂ÷°¡ Å©Áö´Â ¾ÊÁö¸¸ ÀÌ ¸ðµ¨ÀÌ °¢ ¹°¸®°úÁ¤¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¼³¸íÀº ¸ðµÎ Á¤È®ÇÏ´Ù´Â °ÍÀ» ÀǹÌÇÏ´Â °ÍÀº Àý´ë·Î ¾Æ´Ï´Ù. Áö¸é-±âÈÄ¿¡³ÊÁöÆòÇüÀÇ Á¦¾à¿¡ ÀÇÇØ ¸ðµ¨ÀÌ ¾î¶² ÀÏÁ¾ÀÇ ¹°¸®°úÁ¤¿¡ ´ëÇÑ ¸ðÀÇÆíÂ÷´Â ´Ù¸¥ ¹°¸®°úÁ¤ÀÇ ½ÌÅ©·Î Çǵå¹éº¯È¸¦ ÀÏÀ¸Å³ ¼ö ÀÖÁö¸¸ ÀÌ·Î ÀÎÇØ ÀÏ¾î³ ¿Âµµ¿ÀÂ÷¿¡¼´Â »ó¼âÀÛ¿ëÀÌ ¹ß»ýÇÑ´Ù. ÀÌ·¯ÇÑ Çǵå¹é°ú »ó¼âÇö»óÀº °¢ ºñº¹»ç °úÁ¤ »çÀÌ È¤Àº ¾î¶°ÇÑ º¹»ç¿Í ºñº¹»ç °úÁ¤ »çÀÌ¿¡ Á¸ÀçÇÑ´Ù.
ÀÌ ¿¬±¸¼º°ú´Â 2015³â¿¡ Climate Dynamics, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences¿Í Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters¿¡ ¹ßÇ¥µÇ¾ú´Ù. ¿¬±¸¼º°ú´Â FGOALS-s2ÀÇ °³Áø¿¡ µµ¿òÀÌ µÉ »Ó¸¸ ¾Æ´Ï¶ó Àü¼¼°è ´Ù¸¥ ¸ðµ¨°³Áø¿¡ ´ëÇؼµµ µµ¿òÀÌ µÉ ¼ö ÀÖ´Ù.
±×¸²: (a-b)1¿ùºÐ°ú (c-d)7¿ùºÐ ¸ðµ¨¿¡¼ÀÇ º¹»ç°úÁ¤(Rad)[¿ÀÁ¸(O3), ¼öÁõ±â(WV), ±¸¸§(cloud)¿Í ¹Ý»çÀ²(Albedo)°¡ Æ÷ÇÔ] ¿ÀÂ÷, ¹× ºñº¹»ç°úÁ¤(Non-rad)[ÁöÇ¥°¨¿À¯¼Ó(SH), ÁöÇ¥Àá¿À¯¼Ó(LH), ÁöÇ¥µ¿·Â°úÁ¤(DynS)¿Í ´ë±âµ¿·Â°úÁ¤(DynA)ÀÌ Æ÷ÇÔµÊ]¿ÀÂ÷·Î ÀÎÇØ °¢°¢ ÃÊ·¡ÇÑ À§µµ¹æÇâ Æò±Õ Ts(´ÜÀ§: K)¸ðÀÇ¿ÀÂ÷. Èæ»ö Á¡¼±Àº FGOALS-s2°¡ ERA-Interim¿¡ ºñ±³ÇÑ ÀçºÐ¼®ÀÚ·áÀÇ ÃÑ ¿Âµµ¿ÀÂ÷.
³í¹®Á¤º¸:
1. R.-C. Ren*, Yang Yang, Ming Cai*, and Jian Rao, 2015: Understanding the systematic air temperature biases in a coupled climate system model through a process‐based decomposition method. Clim. Dyn., DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2435-7 (in press).
¿ø¹®¿¬°á: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s00382-014-2435-7
2. Yang, Y., R. C. Ren*, M. Cai, and J. Rao, 2015: Attributing analysis on the model bias in surface temperature in the climate system model FGOALS-s2 through a process-based decomposition method. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 32(4), 457–469, DOI: 10.1007/s00376-014-4061-z. ¿ø¹®¿¬°á: http://159.226.119.58/aas/EN/10.1007/s00376-014-4061-z
3. Yang, Y., and R.-C. Ren*, 2015: Understanding the global surface-atmosphere energy balance in FGOALS-s2 through an attribution analysis of the global temperature biases, Atmos Oceanic Sci. Lett., 8, 107-112, DOI:10.3878/AOSL20150019.
¿ø¹®¿¬°á:
http://159.226.119.58/aosl/EN/10.3878/AOSL20150019