새 담수화 시장에서의 가뭄현상 감소는 시장 성장을 약화시켰으나, 아시아 및 다른 지역에서의 시장 확장으로 인한 장기간의 카운터는 1만㎥ 이상 규모의 플랜트 부문에 관해 긍정적인 전망을 만들어내고 있다고 최근 시장 조사기관 Bluefield가 예측했다.

Bluefield는 “호주, 스페인, 남아메리카 같은 신시장에서의 극심한 가뭄의 결과는 수도 공급업체나 오너들 간의 경쟁을 고조시킴으로써 중동 외의 지역에서 활동하는 민간기업들에 대해 긍정적인 시장 기회를 약화시켰다”고 말했다. 그러면서 2010년 전의 상향선으로 돌아갈 조짐은 아직 보이지 않고 있다“고 덧붙였다.

 

 

 

Declining drought in new desalination markets has weakened growth but a long-term counter from expansion in Asia and elsewhere creates a positive outlook for 10,000m³-plus plants according to a recent forecast by market researcher, Bluefield.

 

"The end to extreme droughts in new markets like Australia, Spain, and South Africa have eroded once positive market opportunities for private players outside the Middle East, heightening competition for system suppliers and owners," said Bluefield. It warned that a return to the pre- 2010 upswing was "not yet in the making" but added: "the longer-term outlook is more positive, underpinned by emerging activity in Asia, industrial verticals, and longer term pipelines."

 

Continuing Middle East demand along with "industrial expansion, private water investment, supportive policies, extreme drought, and China's demand for water," will drive growth, Bluefield predicted.

 

It added: "The global desalination sector has not been immune to economic volatility and the overall industrial downturn that has slowed industrial output. This is evident in the 2.1 million m3/d drop-off in large capacity additions from 2010 to 2011 and project pipeline development, which has created a hangover effect in the earlier forecast years, 2014-2015.

 

 It maintained that water stress and drouth along with private sector demand and regulatory pressures will sustain desalination as a strong option for future water supply.

 

[출처 = Desalination & Water Reuse / 2014년 12월 16일]